Kylian Mbappé has already won the Golden Boot for the 2024-25 season, adding a major individual accolade to his already impressive resume. But when people ask “can Mbappé win the Golden Boot”, they’re usually wondering if he has the potential in current or future seasons — what it takes, what rivals he faces, and whether his recent performance sets him up for repeat success. FreeKickSEO will explore all angles: recent history, statistics, competition, and what needs to happen for Mbappé to win the Golden Boot again.
What Happened In 2024-25: Mbappé Wins
To understand whether Mbappé can win again, we need to look back at how he secured it last season — it provides clues and lessons.
- Mbappé scored 31 goals in La Liga in the 2024-25 season. That was enough to lead the top five European leagues.
- Those goals gave him 62 points under the European Golden Boot (European Golden Shoe) system, where goals in major leagues are weighted more heavily.
- His closest challengers were Viktor Gyökeres, who scored 39 goals in Portugal’s Primeira Liga (but got fewer total points due to a lower league coefficient), and Mohamed Salah with 29 Premier League goals. Mbappé edged them out.
- He also won the Pichichi Trophy (La Liga top scorer) and set records for a debut season with Real Madrid.
This demonstrates that winning the Golden Boot isn’t just about scoring a lot — it’s also about which league, how many goals, consistency, and timing.
What It Takes To Win The Golden Boot Again
Here are key factors that determine whether Mbappé can win the Golden Boot in future seasons:
League strength and coefficient
- Only goals in top European leagues (La Liga, Premier League, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1) are awarded full or nearly full coefficient points. Mbappé plays in La Liga, which is among the best.
- Lower-ranked leagues have lower multipliers, meaning someone might score more goals but still fall short in the points tally.
Consistent high goal scoring
- Mbappé must stay fit and avoid long dry spells or injuries.
- Scoring against strong opponents and performing in big matches helps, as those goals often come under more pressure.
Competition
- Rival forwards like Salah, Erling Haaland, Lewandowski, and others are always in the mix. Sometimes a lesser-known striker in a weaker league with a high goal tally becomes a surprise threat.
- The target isn’t only “score more than last season” but “score enough more than competitors under the point system.”
Team dynamics
- Mbappé’s teammates (midfielders, wingers) have to supply chances. A player’s form, tactical setup, and service matter.
- Real Madrid’s style, injuries, rotation, and managerial changes can affect his scoring opportunities.
Game number and fixtures
- More league matches = more chances. Cup or continental games don’t count for the Golden Boot, but fatigue can affect performance in the league.
- The fixture schedule, whether playing many matches in short time, can impact scoring streaks.
Can Mbappé Win It Again? Current Indicators
Looking at the present moment, how likely is Mbappé to win future Golden Boots?
- Mbappé is in excellent form, having scored a strong number of goals in his debut season at Real Madrid. His 31 La Liga goals reflect both adaptation and prowess.
- Real Madrid remains one of the top teams in Europe, and Mbappé’s role is central. He has the support, and the expectations are high.
- Rivals are still dangerous. For example, players in Premier League or other big leagues may hit tall goal numbers. So even if Mbappé continues at high level, he’ll need to top them in points, not just goals.
- There’s also the risk of injuries, rotation (especially with many competitions), and form dips. But given his age, experience, and current momentum, the odds are favorable.
Possible Scenarios & What Mbappé Must Do
Let’s imagine some scenarios to see what would be required for Mbappé to win future Golden Boots.
- If Mbappé repeats ~30+ goals in La Liga, he’ll likely accumulate ~60+ points — a benchmark few players outside top leagues can reach.
- If a rival in a lower coefficient league scores more goals but gets fewer points, Mbappé can still win by a margin.
- If rivals in Premier League or Bundesliga have 28–30 goal seasons, Mbappé may need 32+ to be safe.
To maximize his chances, he should:
- Start seasons fast — build momentum early, score in early matches.
- Avoid long stretches without goals.
- Prioritize league games (less rest, rotation) when possible.
- Take penalties, free kicks — all goal sources count.
- Stay healthy and manage workload with squad support.
Potential Obstacles
Winning once is huge; repeating is harder. Challenges Mbappé may face include:
- Squad rotation: With Real Madrid involved in many competitions, Mbappé may be rested in some league games.
- Injuries or fatigue: Physical and mental toll accumulate.
- Defensive tactics against him: Teams may adjust to shut him out more.
- Emerging rivals: Younger or in-form players in other leagues might have explosive seasons.
- Coefficient shifts: If league strength or policy changes, the point math might make it slightly harder or easier.
Historical Context: What Past Winners Tell Us
- Many Golden Boot winners have been players in La Liga or Premier League — high scoring leagues with high coefficients.
- Past greats (Messi, Ronaldo, etc.) show consistency over many seasons. Winning once may be less daunting after that.
- It’s rare for someone to win the Golden Boot without being the standout forward in their league; usually, league top scorer in a top league is the same person.
Conclusion
Can Mbappé win the Golden Boot? Absolutely — he already has, and all signs point to him being able to do it again. His 2024-25 performance showed exactly what it takes: scoring in the right league, consistently, against tough competition, and edging rivals in the points system. For fans watching, that means keeping an eye not just on his goals, but who else is scoring, league strength, and how his form develops.
FreeKickSEO believes Mbappé is one of the few players in the world truly in position to win this award repeatedly. If you’re tracking the Golden Boot race, monitor his La Liga output, how he finishes games, and how many goals his challengers can manage. Want comparisons with past winners or predictions for the next season? Let’s dive dee
